As everyone knows, on Tuesday Theresa May is almost certain to go down to a thumping defeat in the House of Commons on her Brexit plan. What next? Here’s a prediction.
Wednesday: Labour Vote of No Confidence. With votes from the Democratic Unionists, the Northern Ireland Protestant party, Theresa May wins. She continues as Prime Minister.
Thursday: EU Council Meeting. Theresa May wins a (very minor) concession.
Friday (or a little later): Theresa May returns to the House of Commons with her new, slightly revised Brexit plan. She says: its this plan or leaving the EU without a deal. Faced with this ultimatum some refusenix crumble and she gets the revised plan through Parliament.
This might all be absolutely incorrect. Let’s see…
If you don’t like my prediction, try this one from the Economis.