This chart was published by Mujtaba (Mij) Rahman, of the Eurasia Group.

Prior to joining Eurasia Group, Mujtaba worked at the European Commission’s Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs and at the UK Treasury. He is an adjunct professor at New York University’s Stern Business School and Sciences-Po in Paris, as well as a visiting fellow at the London School of Economics. He teaches political risk to graduate students at all three institutions.

Brexit projection