Professor Kjetil Tronvoll is one of the best-known Horn of Africa scholars, having worked on the region since the 1990’s.
In a series of Tweets he has provided this analysis of how severe the situation is currently.
The world’s biggest ongoing armed conflict is not Russia’s attack on Ukraine, but Ethiopia and Eritrea’s massive offensives on Tigray. Reliable estimate is that up to 1 million troops are engaged in the war theater.
The ongoing combined Eritrea/Ethiopia offensives against Tigray use WW1 tactics of ordering massive human wave attacks on Tigray defense lines. The carnage is horrendous. Likely as many as 100.000 have been slaughtered over the last weeks.
Ethiopia & Eritrea are continuously shelling & bombing Tigray towns, indiscriminately killing droves of civilians. The perpetuation of warcrimes is standard operating procedure.
Ethiopia is simultaneously using starvation as war strategy, by blocking humanitarian aid to Tigray. Millions of Tigrayans are on verge of famine. Thousands are dying for lack of medical supplies. Children are suffering tremendously.
Ethiopia & Eritrea are colluding with the AU in red-taping Cessation of Hostilities talks, in the belief that they might manage to crush Tigray by arms. Concomitantly, US, EU and bilaterals are hesitating to engage in full, and are repeatedly “taken for a ride” by Abiy Ahmed.
Tigray is fighting for survival, as they have experienced what happened in 2021 when Eritrea and Ethiopia troops went on rampage, killing and raping civilians, looting and pillaging. TDF is also experiencing massive losses, but know the alternative may be worse.
Ethiopia & AU are using the debauched slogan “African solutions to Africa problems” to prevent an active int. engagement to facilitate negotiations. Concomitantly, African brotherhood & solidarity with an African nation & people exposed to a genocidal warfare is
When the history of Ethiopia / Eritrea´s atrocious war on Tigray will be written, the lacklustre role of AU, US, EU & others in engaging to prevent the ongoing humanitarian disaster and crimes against humanity unfolding, will be protuberant.
Martin Plaut 
Great article
It is concise and short truth on ground.
US is relactant to full take the right step to peace but looks also tacitly supporting in case Abi Ahmed wins
EU had a very clear stand from beginning but they do not want to upset AU n US
AU African union, the most inactive, limbless, insensitive to African lives, just hijacked the peace effort and put water on it.
AU is superficial, only want to benefit from the funds that will be poured from US EU
AU slogan African solution to African problem is just a Dictators fortress to continue their brutality w out accountability
Eritrean invasion of Tigray is justified as far as it rescues Abu Ahmed, seems US stand, what about if Tigray attack back and invade Eritrea wgat will be the IC response.
If international law is violated by Eritrea, then when is the ending.
Who is going to ask Tigray the respect territory violated by others as such infront of UN, US, EU, AU
Tigray fought very tough war neglected by International communities
Great article
It is concise and short truth on ground.
US is relactant to fully take the right step to peace, instead looks tacitly supporting in case Abi Ahmed came winner of the war for many I’ll reasons.
US policy on saving Ahmed vs saving Ethiopia is confused, this wrong assessment might lead to disintegration of Ethio
EU had a very clear stand from beginning of this war but not to upset AU n US they just are watching instead of saving lives.
AU African union, the most inactive, limbless, insensitive to African lives, just hijacked the peace effort and put water on it.
AU is superficial, only want to benefit from the funds that will be poured from US EU
AU slogan African solution to African problem is just a Dictator’s fortress to continue their brutality w out accountability.
Eritrean invasion of Tigray is justified as far as it rescues Abi Ahmed, seems US stand, what about, if Tigray attack back and invade Eritrea what will be the response?
If international law is violated by Eritrea, then when is its ending.
Who is going to ask Tigray to respect territory, whike its violated by others infront of UN, US, EU, AU
The world will be ashamed of its negligence, hypocracy when African lives lost.
The world ashes of allowing Abi Ahmed to starve millions, to block any access to these people.
Tigray people is just Forgotten and
Tigray must rescue itself otherwise can be wiped out of Earth by Ethiopian n Eritrean regimes evil alliance.